Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.424726 1.624994 1.843150 2.098427 2.388970 2.709394 3.089657
2025-02-02 1.168058 1.453487 1.791975 2.222973 2.757347 3.398455 4.226694
2025-02-09 1.016779 1.343938 1.755413 2.310922 3.041709 3.971050 5.244308
2025-02-16 0.893178 1.240478 1.698865 2.348134 3.244777 4.440789 6.160257
2025-02-23 0.772966 1.120709 1.599310 2.306082 3.324193 4.739687 6.861622
2025-03-02 0.684255 1.031077 1.526658 2.286371 3.422888 5.062732 7.614824
2025-03-09 0.619340 0.966695 1.480331 2.295054 3.556638 5.439623 8.472053
2025-03-16 0.564641 0.910551 1.438545 2.302955 3.684953 5.813384 9.351430
2025-03-23 0.521149 0.866486 1.409496 2.325206 3.833671 6.226059 10.322549
2025-03-30 0.468624 0.801971 1.341043 2.275901 3.860036 6.443023 10.991472
2025-04-06 0.423136 0.744248 1.277550 2.227295 3.880400 6.647661 11.651860
2025-04-13 0.378647 0.683656 1.203260 2.152375 3.847221 6.756456 12.152571
2025-04-20 0.371900 0.689312 1.243992 2.283247 4.187254 7.538680 13.914947
2025-04-27 0.365123 0.694268 1.283904 2.416350 4.543574 8.380694 15.864007
2025-05-04 0.353137 0.688193 1.302919 2.512014 4.838457 9.134894 17.715899
2025-05-11 0.334652 0.667844 1.293406 2.552453 5.031886 9.716123 19.289262
2025-05-18 0.307180 0.627297 1.241888 2.506750 5.054283 9.974328 20.255928
2025-05-25 0.285267 0.595677 1.204659 2.485328 5.121449 10.322222 21.427357
2025-06-01 0.268781 0.573491 1.183929 2.494765 5.250405 10.800204 22.900445
2025-06-08 0.253599 0.552570 1.163822 2.503352 5.377574 11.283369 24.423676
2025-06-15 0.241151 0.536290 1.151777 2.527534 5.538914 11.848388 26.166798
2025-06-22 0.222598 0.505019 1.105504 2.473949 5.528275 12.050919 27.141637
2025-06-29 0.205722 0.475929 1.061413 2.421123 5.514264 12.243914 28.109846